Showing posts with label Economic statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economic statistics. Show all posts

30 October 2011

Surprising Insights about Hard Times in Russia and America

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robrush54 from Photobucket

When people look at current economic statistics, whether about the USA, Russia, or Greece, often they feel that things have gone wrong when it comes to fairness.

I view talk by the conservatives about austerity as a big lie meant to continue manipulating people to cave before the powerful.  Maybe this is why the Occupy Wall Street Movement has sprung up.

The Russian people have continuing economic problems, even though real income has multiplied since 2000.  Most pay no mortgage or rent, a legacy from the end of the Soviet Union, and don’t need a car for work.  But the consumer economy in the USA is crumbling, dramatically going from good to bad. 

Numbeo.com compares the USA to Russia

Consumer Prices 23% higher

Rent Prices 52% higher

Restaurant Prices 2% lower

Groceries Prices 51% higher

Local Purchasing Power 170% higher

More information on economic fairness,,,  These numbers indicate the US has a large disparity of income and is less mobile than much of Europe.

Russia has a better GINI income distribution than the USA, 42.3 to 45. Actually, the Russia number is better than its face value. Russia Now hot link

Economic mobility... USA 1.0  Russia? Denmark 3.2   No Russia number available, but I guess it’s significantly better than the USA. Economic Mobility Project hot link

Both countries have serious problems...

  • chaotic medical delivery
  • unresponsive government
  • corruption

Trouble in the Land of Plenty...

Americans have 170% higher purchasing power but they have to deal with outrageous medical costs, along with  other high costs, such as public and private transportation.  They have an advantage in that they can exercise some democratic rights, but these days the US government seems unable to help its citizens effectively.

Many Americans in real terms are poorer than years ago...    Unemployment is now 9.1%  The recent trade bill will likely result in a further net loss of jobs. Christian Science Monitor hot link

Most of the poor have appliances, cars, electronics which most Americans think essential, live in larger spaces than many middle income Europeans. But still they feel down and out as they are hard pressed to cover their expenses and often compare themselves to those more well off.

20 years after the Soviet Union...

Even with all their troubles, Russians don’t have a stress-disaster mentality but rather are extraordinarily stoic (maybe masochistic?).  Economic survival has always been difficult here, and people are not surprised or very upset by a downturn.  Russian hard times hot link  Unemployment is at 7.6% (2010). 

The situation for the very poor in Russia is much harder than anything America has recently experienced.  There is a scant welfare system, small and scattered unemployment benefits, and the average  pension is around 8,500 rubles ($328) a month.  Food Stamps and Meals on Wheels are not available, except for the wonderful initiatives of the JDC for Russian Jews.

You are poor in the USA if your family of four makes $22,350 or less.  In Russia people who can not afford the hypothetical (and too low) Subsistence Food Basket are considered poor..  a yearly $2,013 for pensioners  and $10,425 for two parents and two children. 14.9% of Russians are statistically poor.

The Consumer Price Index...  General and Food Inflation

Inflation in Russia is now around 8.1%, while in America it is close to 3.9%.   The Russian food basket increased in cost 20 – 30% recently, and 15% in 2010.  American food costs rose 3.5 to 4% in 2011.

How would Americans react if their grocery bills went up 35% in less than two years?

Food in Russia takes somewhere between a third and two thirds of income, while the average American spends 9% on food... (but gradually a larger share as you look from the poor to the poorest... 37% of income on food in 2009). Business Insider hot link 

Russian Medical Benefits...

It’s easier to get approved for disability payments in Russia but the benefit payments are very low.

100% of hospitalization and clinic doctors costs are covered with no deductible or co-payment. But the trend has been towards individuals having to pay for specialists. 

Surgery and drugs are only covered in exceptional circumstances.  Drugs are still much cheaper than in the United States.

Pharmacy bills...

Russian pharmacies sell packages of bubble wrapped drugs which rarely require a prescription, with no onsite pharmacist, just a scurrying clerk or two.  This cuts down on costs, but no one checks for contraindications.  Without this protection, I study the internet pharmacy sites to find out more.

Americans are charged outrageous prices for prescriptions.  The NJ Prescription Drug Price Registry, shows some of the best prices available.  In Flemington the best pharmacy price was $143 for 90 tablets 2.5 mg Warfarin.  Here in Russia the current price is an equivalent $4.99 for 100 pills... 28.6 times cheaper, and with 10 extra pills!  NJ Drug Price Registry hot link

Our monthly costs...

Besides some rather crass New Russians, most people have  fewer expensive wishes than more acquisitive Americans.  Cars are a luxury as we have extensive public transportation.  Russians are less wasteful of food.

We get by with frugal living.  We watch the rubles but spend when necessary, as for medical drugs or even an occasional taxi ride (no car expenses for us since our arrival).  We spend around 10,000 rubles ($328) to 12,000 rubles($393) monthly for grocery items and 5000 rubles($164) for medicines.

There are monthly bills for cable internet, electricity, hot and cold water, apartment fees, and we pay for medical treatment and tests at times, too.  Typically we have no charge cards, other debt, or loans to pay.  We are in our late 60s, our wishes are less but our medical needs can cost more than we feel comfortable paying. 

Money isn’t everything...

Economic life can be tough whether you live in Russia or the United States.  I hope you are getting by, or better, prospering.  Remember while money is essential, it should not be confused as the most important part of a happy life.

Comments very welcome!

 

26 February 2011

Surprising $$$ Statistics about the USA and Russia!

Graphical representation of the Gini coefficie...

Image via Wikipedia

 

A cautionary note...

Statisticians are a careful crew.  But interpreters may not indicate which average they are talking about... mean, median, or mode... or the study time span. The results may not be labeled clearly, or mention a crucial consideration, such as upward mobility.

It makes me think of one of my father’s favorite books, How to Lie With Statistics by Darrell Huff, 1954.  I have tried to unravel the conflicting numbers.  Please let me know what you think of this effort, and correct me where I may have gone astray!

The Petersburg Curmudgeon says...

The rich are making fools of the poor in many parts of the world, including the US and Russia.  The galling thing is everyday people let themselves be manipulated and pushed down.  And hard pressed people sometimes think themselves virtuous or upper class by supporting the very people that are taking them to the cleaners!

GINI... Income distribution throughout the world.

The GINI coefficient measures the inequality of income distribution of a nation’s wealth.The United States is a wealth-concentrated country, with an income distribution that shows a GINI inequality of 46.8 in 2009, rising from 45 in just two years!  The Russia GINI of 42.30 in 2008 is slightly better (more unequal!). 

The rich have a high proportion of wealth in America. Since 1979 the richest 1% having doubled their share of total income.

Taxes are low for the wealthy...

Taxes in America *, for the rich, were lowered by presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush.  Barack Obama felt forced to continue Bush’s tax cuts.  But still, tax rates are much higher in  Western Europe.

Footnote 1.  America and Americans are quick ways to refer to the USA and its citizens.  Canada and Mexico have easy names.

Russia has a flat tax of 13%, partly responsible for the rich getting richer. 

Unions are weak...

Since the failed 1981 air controller Patco strike, unions have become weaker, which contributed to a redistribution of wealth from union members to the rich. The United States in 2010 had 14.7 million union members, a small number, and a smaller percentage compared to Russia’s much smaller population.

Russia had unions set up by the Communist party which continue now.  Recently the Federation of Independent Trade Unions of Russia, with 25,000,000 members, celebrated it's 20th birthday. But still, government and owners sometimes undermine union efforts to achieve better working conditions and higher pay. 

American real* disposable income

Footnote 2.  real = adjusted for inflation

American real disposable income Jan 2011 was $36,000, a monthly $3,000.  Household income at $46,326 is affected by women in the workforce.

Douglas A. Hibbs, Jr. said, “Real disposable income is the broadest measure of economic well-being,  It has a very, very powerful effect.” 

Real weekly wages (private business nonsupervisory) have decreased from $372 in 1972, to $298 in 2010.  Much of this decrease I ascribe to trickle-down economics that trickled up to the wealthy!

Robert Reich said, "The underlying reality that people live with is their sense of anxiety about paying the bills."  It is a predictor of election results.

(Inflation 1.4% in 2010)

Russia’s astounding increase in real disposable income

Russia is moving in the right direction, at least in statistics... with somewhere between 7 to 20% viewed as the new middle class. Since 1998, real disposable income in Russia  has doubled, rising an average 7% a year.    The average monthly salary as of June 2010 is p 21,597... $720. 

(Inflation 8.8% in 2010).

MacDonald’s Rule of Five

I flippantly devised this rule in 2000 to explain American/Russia prices... for every dollar (in rubles) spent by the average Russian, an American spends five. Now in 2011, the Rule of Five for prices is more like a Rule of Three, but for income the Rule of Five still holds.

Being poor in America with big houses and cars...

It’s left to the politicians in each country to identify a poverty line.

In the USA poverty is defined as a family of 4 earning below $22,350 in 2010. In 2009, 14.3% of Americans were at or below the poverty line.  Rich or poor have many of the same things, but rent, keeping a car on the road *, and medical bills can be crushing for those without much income.

Footnote 3.  America has a weak bus system outside of the cities, so at least one car for a household is a necessity.

The standard of living of much of the poor in the United States is higher than how the majority of people live in much of the world. 

Most of the poor can get some food from local food pantries, and reduce food costs with government food stamps used at the supermarket checkout.  Meals on Wheels, partly staffed by volunteers, delivers a midday hot meal to the aged and infirm in parts of the USA... at a token cost.

The 2008 share of disposable personal income spent on food in the USA was 9.6%... 1/5  of the 45% of income needed by the average Russian family for food!

Poor and malnourished on the Russian Food Basket...

Russian households below the poverty line went from 38% in 1998 to 13% in 2010.  Household income spent on food reduced from 73% in 1993 to 45% now.

Russian food quality with no GSM, hormones and few pesticides is better than what is generally available in America if you can afford to buy it.

In accordance with the Federal Law “On the Minimum Cost of Living in the Russian Federation” (of 01/01/1998), the minimum cost of living is the estimated value of a basket of consumer goods that includes the minimum amount of food and other goods and services necessary for ensuring a person’s health and survival as well all obligatory payments and fees. Throughout the RF, the basket of consumer goods is established by the Federal Law “On the Basket of Consumer Goods Throughout the “

“The region spends more money feeding dogs than it does feeding pensioners” said Andrei Alshevskikh, a regional assembly member on Vesti TV channel.

Liza Surnacheva and Vitaly Nikishin, have personally tested the Russian statistical food basket, and found it did not allow for adequate nutrition. *

* See Interesting Reading at the end of this post.

What’s it all adds up to...

Whether in the USA or Russia, purchasing power determines how content you are with the economy and your government.  Can you pay your bills without stress?  Well, if so, it’s likely you have  economic well-being!

$$$$$$$

Agree, disagree, have something else to say?

Just click comment on the next to last line of this post.

Post previews...

1. We wonder, what features of the American and Russian economies make them successful, and what are their profound weaknesses? 

2. The clash of materialism and other values.

3. How is the insipient middle class in Russia nothing like that in the United States?

Interesting Reading

Liza Surnacheva, a Russian reporter, tries to get by on the Russian government food expense minimum. http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/russia-lessons-from-the-poverty-line

Vitaly Nikishin, a 17 year old blogger from Yekaterinaburg, attempts to stay fed and healthy on the Russian food basket allotment. Author Natasha Doff, RIA Novesti. http://en.rian.ru/russia/20110120/162224760.html 

Revolution Handbook for Americans by Joel S. Hirschhorn

 

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